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Red62
1650.9
18507.7
202219.3
Blue16
424112.0
467616.8
478711.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593202040801001201401606216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#8
50.90.3
32.032.2
Auto0.3
Teleop50.7
End0.0
red by 34.2
4676
#22
16.81.8
14.312.5
Auto0.6
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Second
2022
#28
19.30.2
17.117.4
Auto1.7
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 7.3
4241
#50
12.01.1
16.815.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Third
1850
#43
7.70.4
7.98.4
Auto0.6
Teleop7.1
End0.0
blue by 3.3
4787
#42
11.01.8
6.85.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0