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Red76
429610.6
421231.3
278110.8
Blue70
283022.4
43029.7
21364.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3823060801001207670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4212
#18
31.31.9
18.520.4
Auto1.1
Teleop30.2
End0.0
red by 8.9
2830
#17
22.42.7
7.510.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Second
2781
#30
10.83.2
11.815.0
Auto0.7
Teleop10.1
End0.0
red by 1.0
4302
#47
9.73.6
14.217.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Third
4296
#45
10.62.4
7.09.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.9
End0.0
red by 6.4
2136
#52
4.23.6
4.78.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.4
End0.0