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Red50
11139.6
211511.3
369520.4
Blue102
46456.0
167530.7
206259.3
36%Model gave it64%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5278010015020025050102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#16
39.60.1
32.832.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop39.9
End0.0
blue by 19.7
59.31.5
47.649.2
Auto1.5
Teleop57.8
End0.0
Second
3695
#33
20.40.2
13.513.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.7
End0.0
blue by 10.2
1675
#14
30.71.5
19.921.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.8
End0.0
Third
2115
#46
11.30.2
11.711.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
red by 5.3
4645
#49
6.02.1
9.611.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.1
End0.0