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Qual 152015 Midwest Regional
Red68
414367.6
31103.9
10115.5
Blue72
409636.1
306724.3
203926.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74736065708085906872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#3
67.60.4
55.3→54.8
Auto1.5
Teleop66.1
End0.0
red by 31.5
4096
#24
36.10.2
35.6→35.4
Auto0.2
Teleop35.9
End0.0
Second
101
#34
15.50.7
12.6→11.9
Auto0.4
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 10.4
2039
#21
26.00.2
23.4→23.2
Auto0.1
Teleop25.9
End0.0
Third
3110
#51
3.90.7
9.0→8.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop4.3
End0.0
blue by 20.4
3067
#13
24.30.2
16.8→16.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.6
End0.0