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Qual 212015 Midwest Regional
Red104
203926.0
11139.6
283022.4
Blue8
306724.3
335217.0
270411.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions674502060801001201401048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#16
39.62.2
32.7→34.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop39.9
End0.0
red by 15.2
3067
#13
24.31.8
16.6→14.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Second
2039
#21
26.02.2
23.2→25.4
Auto0.1
Teleop25.9
End0.0
red by 9.0
3352
#36
17.02.0
15.6→13.5
Auto1.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
2830
#17
22.42.4
10.2→12.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.8
End0.0
red by 10.9
2704
#48
11.51.8
18.2→16.4
Auto0.9
Teleop10.6
End0.0