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Red72
421231.3
178129.1
31103.9
Blue116
173628.2
306118.2
245154.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3910305015020072116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4212
#18
31.31.1
20.421.5
Auto1.1
Teleop30.2
End0.0
blue by 23.5
54.81.0
58.059.0
Auto1.2
Teleop53.6
End0.0
Second
1781
#11
29.11.2
21.522.7
Auto0.4
Teleop28.7
End0.0
red by 0.8
1736
#35
28.21.0
22.523.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Third
3110
#51
3.91.8
8.210.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop4.3
End0.0
blue by 14.3
3061
#19
18.21.0
15.916.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop18.7
End0.0