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Qual 232015 Midwest Regional
Red82
46456.0
219441.3
270917.6
Blue80
409636.1
512517.6
17120.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516901001502002503008280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#4
41.31.5
29.4→30.9
Auto0.2
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 5.2
4096
#24
36.10.6
35.4→35.9
Auto0.2
Teleop35.9
End0.0
Second
2709
#31
17.61.5
14.3→15.8
Auto0.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 3.0
171
#39
20.60.6
24.1→24.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
4645
#49
6.02.2
11.6→13.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.1
End0.0
blue by 11.7
5125
#26
17.60.9
9.5→10.4
Auto0.8
Teleop16.8
End0.0