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Red36
18507.7
173919.7
263030.3
Blue34
235823.7
47023.5
42928.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48340204060801003634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#23
30.30.3
22.922.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.5
End0.0
red by 6.6
2358
#20
23.70.2
23.022.8
Auto0.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Second
1739
#27
19.70.3
16.115.8
Auto0.2
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 10.9
4292
#44
8.80.3
10.810.5
Auto1.1
Teleop7.7
End0.0
Third
1850
#43
7.70.5
8.47.9
Auto0.6
Teleop7.1
End0.0
red by 4.2
4702
#53
3.50.3
3.83.5
Auto0.7
Teleop2.8
End0.0