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Qual 252015 Midwest Regional
Red26
202219.3
317712.9
497921.6
Blue20
348813.1
64822.8
429610.6
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424120305060702620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4979
#29
21.61.5
14.2→12.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.0
End0.0
blue by 1.1
648
#32
22.80.8
24.2→23.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Second
2022
#28
19.30.9
17.4→16.5
Auto1.7
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 6.2
3488
#38
13.11.4
9.1→7.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Third
3177
#37
12.91.5
12.2→10.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 2.2
4296
#45
10.60.9
9.4→8.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.9
End0.0