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Red122
429610.6
206259.3
202219.3
Blue112
18507.7
414367.6
535011.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76714050608090100110120122112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.32.2
52.855.0
Auto1.5
Teleop57.8
End0.0
blue by 8.2
67.61.9
57.259.1
Auto1.5
Teleop66.1
End0.0
Second
2022
#28
19.32.2
16.518.7
Auto1.7
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 7.7
5350
#41
11.53.1
9.712.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Third
4296
#45
10.62.2
8.510.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.9
End0.0
red by 2.9
1850
#43
7.73.1
7.911.0
Auto0.6
Teleop7.1
End0.0