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Red170
175667.0
313532.9
467616.8
Blue132
173919.7
17120.6
162535.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9060050100150170132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.04.1
56.560.6
Auto8.4
Teleop58.5
End0.0
red by 31.8
35.23.3
26.529.7
Auto1.1
Teleop34.1
End0.0
Second
3135
#10
32.96.8
15.822.6
Auto0.8
Teleop32.1
End0.0
red by 12.3
171
#39
20.63.3
24.727.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
4676
#22
16.86.8
16.423.2
Auto0.6
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 2.9
1739
#27
19.73.3
15.819.1
Auto0.2
Teleop19.5
End0.0