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Qual 342015 Midwest Regional
Red74
211511.3
421231.3
317712.9
Blue56
215116.1
250625.7
64822.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396101001502002507456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4212
#18
31.31.5
21.5→23.0
Auto1.1
Teleop30.2
End0.0
red by 5.6
2506
#25
25.70.1
26.5→26.6
Auto0.5
Teleop25.2
End0.0
Second
3177
#37
12.92.5
10.7→13.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 9.9
648
#32
22.80.1
23.4→23.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Third
2115
#46
11.32.5
11.4→13.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 4.8
2151
#40
16.10.2
10.2→10.3
Auto0.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0