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Red36
10115.5
18507.7
173628.2
Blue118
207738.1
283022.4
219441.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359405015020025036118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1736
#35
28.20.5
22.321.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop28.6
End0.0
blue by 13.1
41.31.5
34.836.3
Auto0.2
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Second
101
#34
15.50.8
12.711.8
Auto0.4
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 22.5
2077
#12
38.11.5
36.237.7
Auto0.6
Teleop37.5
End0.0
Third
1850
#43
7.70.8
11.010.2
Auto0.6
Teleop7.1
End0.0
blue by 14.7
2830
#17
22.41.5
17.118.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.8
End0.0