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Red60
167530.7
335217.0
424112.0
Blue55
317712.9
17120.6
64822.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476501001502006055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#14
30.70.4
24.324.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.8
End0.0
red by 7.9
648
#32
22.80.5
23.523.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Second
3352
#36
17.00.4
12.613.0
Auto1.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 3.6
171
#39
20.60.5
27.927.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
4241
#50
12.00.4
14.715.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 0.9
3177
#37
12.90.8
13.212.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.3
End0.0