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Qual 452015 Midwest Regional
Red112
478711.0
414367.6
421231.3
Blue123
11139.6
173919.7
219441.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84844060100120140112123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#3
67.61.4
57.2→58.5
Auto1.5
Teleop66.1
End0.0
red by 26.2
2194
#4
41.31.7
36.3→38.0
Auto0.2
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Second
4212
#18
31.31.4
24.4→25.8
Auto1.1
Teleop30.2
End0.0
blue by 8.3
111
#16
39.61.7
33.8→35.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop39.9
End0.0
Third
4787
#42
11.02.3
3.1→5.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 8.7
1739
#27
19.71.7
18.8→20.5
Auto0.2
Teleop19.5
End0.0