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Red58
211511.3
47023.5
263030.3
Blue82
233865.1
424112.0
429610.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37900501502002505882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#23
30.30.9
27.828.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.5
End0.0
blue by 34.8
65.10.2
59.359.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop65.4
End0.0
Second
2115
#46
11.31.5
13.114.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 0.7
4241
#50
12.00.2
15.115.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Third
4702
#53
3.51.5
5.46.9
Auto0.7
Teleop2.8
End0.0
blue by 7.1
4296
#45
10.60.2
10.310.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.9
End0.0