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Qual 472015 Midwest Regional
Red126
202219.3
245154.8
335217.0
Blue116
306118.2
162535.2
313532.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9165050100150126116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#9
54.82.1
58.5→60.6
Auto1.2
Teleop53.6
End0.0
red by 19.6
1625
#7
35.22.2
29.3→31.5
Auto1.1
Teleop34.1
End0.0
Second
2022
#28
19.32.1
19.0→21.1
Auto1.7
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 13.6
3135
#10
32.93.7
24.9→28.6
Auto0.8
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Third
3352
#36
17.02.1
13.0→15.1
Auto1.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 1.2
3061
#19
18.22.2
16.9→19.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop18.7
End0.0