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Red132
175667.0
250625.7
42928.8
Blue122
306724.3
1650.9
369520.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102590150200132122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.01.7
61.663.2
Auto8.4
Teleop58.5
End0.0
red by 16.0
16
#8
50.92.7
35.338.0
Auto0.3
Teleop50.7
End0.0
Second
2506
#25
25.71.7
24.926.5
Auto0.5
Teleop25.2
End0.0
red by 1.4
3067
#13
24.32.7
16.018.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Third
4292
#44
8.82.8
12.315.0
Auto1.1
Teleop7.7
End0.0
blue by 11.6
3695
#33
20.44.5
16.421.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.7
End0.0