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Red88
64822.8
339020.7
178129.1
Blue25
235823.7
409636.1
278110.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577601001502002508825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#11
29.11.3
26.627.9
Auto0.4
Teleop28.7
End0.0
blue by 7.0
4096
#24
36.12.5
35.032.5
Auto0.2
Teleop35.9
End0.0
Second
648
#32
22.81.3
23.024.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.2
End0.0
blue by 1.0
2358
#20
23.72.5
20.417.9
Auto0.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Third
3390
#15
20.72.1
12.915.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 10.0
2781
#30
10.84.2
20.316.0
Auto0.7
Teleop10.1
End0.0