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Qual 52015 Midwest Regional
Red116
203926.0
465550.9
233865.1
Blue81
250625.7
18507.7
245154.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1117405010015020011681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#1
65.10.4
45.4→45.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop65.4
End0.0
red by 10.3
2451
#9
54.80.3
54.3→54.6
Auto1.2
Teleop53.6
End0.0
Second
4655
#6
50.90.4
41.2→41.6
Auto0.1
Teleop50.8
End0.0
red by 25.2
2506
#25
25.70.3
20.9→21.2
Auto0.5
Teleop25.2
End0.0
Third
2039
#21
26.00.3
23.1→23.4
Auto0.1
Teleop25.9
End0.0
red by 18.3
1850
#43
7.70.3
7.6→7.9
Auto0.6
Teleop7.1
End0.0