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Red52
162535.2
306724.3
424112.0
Blue25
421231.3
207738.1
21364.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496301001502002503005225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.0
19.019.0
Auto1.1
Teleop34.1
End0.0
blue by 2.9
2077
#12
38.12.6
35.132.6
Auto0.6
Teleop37.5
End0.0
Second
3067
#13
24.30.0
16.916.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.6
End0.0
blue by 7.0
4212
#18
31.31.9
20.418.5
Auto1.1
Teleop30.2
End0.0
Third
4241
#50
12.00.0
16.816.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0
red by 7.7
2136
#52
4.23.2
7.94.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.4
End0.0