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Red24
250625.7
424112.0
535011.5
Blue12
278110.8
46456.0
283022.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5544020801001202412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2506
#25
25.71.3
26.525.3
Auto0.5
Teleop25.2
End0.0
red by 3.3
2830
#17
22.41.8
18.817.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Second
4241
#50
12.01.3
15.314.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0
red by 1.2
2781
#30
10.83.0
16.013.1
Auto0.7
Teleop10.1
End0.0
Third
5350
#41
11.52.1
13.811.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop12.2
End0.0
red by 5.5
4645
#49
6.03.0
12.89.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.1
End0.0