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Qual 592015 Midwest Regional
Red78
270917.6
42928.8
409636.1
Blue86
167530.7
497921.6
421231.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61602040801007886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4096
#24
36.10.8
32.5→33.3
Auto0.2
Teleop35.9
End0.0
red by 4.8
4212
#18
31.31.1
25.8→26.9
Auto1.1
Teleop30.2
End0.0
Second
2709
#31
17.60.8
14.7→15.5
Auto0.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 13.1
1675
#14
30.71.1
24.7→25.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.8
End0.0
Third
4292
#44
8.81.3
15.0→16.3
Auto1.1
Teleop7.7
End0.0
blue by 12.8
4979
#29
21.61.9
13.0→14.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.0
End0.0