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Qual 602015 Midwest Regional
Red64
348813.1
11139.6
18507.7
Blue48
369520.4
263030.3
339020.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions536401001502002503006448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#16
39.60.7
35.5→36.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop39.9
End0.0
red by 9.3
2630
#23
30.30.8
28.7→27.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Second
3488
#38
13.11.1
12.9→14.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 7.7
3390
#15
20.71.4
15.0→13.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Third
1850
#43
7.71.1
8.0→9.1
Auto0.6
Teleop7.1
End0.0
blue by 12.7
3695
#33
20.41.4
21.0→19.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.7
End0.0