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Qual 612015 Midwest Regional
Red44
215116.1
235823.7
31103.9
Blue40
10115.5
17120.6
21364.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4242384044464440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2358
#20
23.70.0
17.9→17.9
Auto0.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
red by 3.1
171
#39
20.60.2
27.4→27.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
2151
#40
16.10.0
15.0→15.1
Auto0.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 0.6
101
#34
15.50.3
13.4→13.1
Auto0.4
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
3110
#51
3.90.0
10.8→10.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop4.3
End0.0
blue by 0.3
2136
#52
4.20.3
2.8→2.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.4
End0.0