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Red32
270411.5
203926.0
313532.9
Blue24
317712.9
207738.1
467616.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74714060801001203224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3135
#10
32.92.3
32.730.4
Auto0.8
Teleop32.1
End0.0
blue by 5.2
2077
#12
38.12.3
39.136.8
Auto0.6
Teleop37.5
End0.0
Second
2039
#21
26.01.5
27.826.3
Auto0.1
Teleop25.9
End0.0
red by 9.2
4676
#22
16.83.8
24.120.3
Auto0.6
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
2704
#48
11.51.5
13.612.1
Auto0.9
Teleop10.6
End0.0
blue by 1.4
3177
#37
12.93.8
12.89.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.3
End0.0