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Red52
306118.2
219441.3
467616.8
Blue40
206259.3
42928.8
211511.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71920501502002503005240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.9
38.938.0
Auto0.2
Teleop41.1
End0.0
blue by 18.0
59.32.6
56.954.3
Auto1.5
Teleop57.8
End0.0
Second
3061
#19
18.20.9
17.716.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 6.9
2115
#46
11.34.0
18.714.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Third
4676
#22
16.81.5
20.318.8
Auto0.6
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 8.0
4292
#44
8.84.0
16.312.3
Auto1.1
Teleop7.7
End0.0