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Qual 692015 Midwest Regional
Red136
306724.3
215116.1
175667.0
Blue104
465550.9
18507.7
409636.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97854060120140160136104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#2
67.01.9
64.2→66.1
Auto8.4
Teleop58.5
End0.0
red by 16.1
4655
#6
50.90.7
47.2→48.0
Auto0.1
Teleop50.8
End0.0
Second
3067
#13
24.31.9
19.0→20.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.6
End0.0
blue by 11.8
4096
#24
36.10.7
33.3→34.0
Auto0.2
Teleop35.9
End0.0
Third
2151
#40
16.12.9
15.1→18.0
Auto0.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 8.4
1850
#43
7.71.1
9.1→10.2
Auto0.6
Teleop7.1
End0.0