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Qual 702015 Midwest Regional
Red0
369520.4
31103.9
43029.7
Blue10
424112.0
202219.3
348813.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39490100150200250300010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3695
#33
20.42.3
19.6→17.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.7
End0.0
red by 1.2
2022
#28
19.31.7
21.3→19.6
Auto1.7
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Second
4302
#47
9.72.3
11.7→9.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 3.3
3488
#38
13.12.6
14.0→11.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Third
3110
#51
3.92.3
10.8→8.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop4.3
End0.0
blue by 8.1
4241
#50
12.01.7
14.0→12.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0