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Red102
335217.0
409636.1
317712.9
Blue8
18507.7
278110.8
211511.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions622802040801001201401028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4096
#24
36.12.4
34.036.4
Auto0.2
Teleop35.9
End0.0
red by 24.8
2115
#46
11.31.5
14.613.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Second
3352
#36
17.02.4
16.118.6
Auto1.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 6.2
2781
#30
10.81.5
9.78.2
Auto0.7
Teleop10.1
End0.0
Third
3177
#37
12.93.5
9.112.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 5.2
1850
#43
7.71.5
10.28.8
Auto0.6
Teleop7.1
End0.0