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Red119
173628.2
465550.9
173919.7
Blue74
167530.7
348813.1
43029.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions983605015020011974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.91.4
48.049.3
Auto0.1
Teleop50.8
End0.0
red by 20.2
1675
#14
30.71.3
26.227.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.8
End0.0
Second
1736
#35
28.21.4
23.925.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop28.6
End0.0
red by 15.2
3488
#38
13.11.9
11.513.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Third
1739
#27
19.71.4
19.721.0
Auto0.2
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 9.9
4302
#47
9.71.9
9.311.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0