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Red89
478711.0
167530.7
64822.8
Blue106
10115.5
512517.6
175667.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47105015020089106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#14
30.71.6
27.629.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.8
End0.0
blue by 36.3
67.00.6
68.469.0
Auto8.4
Teleop58.5
End0.0
Second
648
#32
22.81.6
21.222.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 5.1
5125
#26
17.60.8
16.817.6
Auto0.8
Teleop16.8
End0.0
Third
4787
#42
11.02.1
8.911.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 4.6
101
#34
15.50.8
14.715.5
Auto0.4
Teleop15.1
End0.0