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Red132
206259.3
207738.1
409636.1
Blue58
235823.7
202219.3
263030.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13458010015020025013258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.30.3
55.555.8
Auto1.5
Teleop57.8
End0.0
red by 29.0
2630
#23
30.30.4
29.228.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Second
2077
#12
38.10.3
34.835.0
Auto0.6
Teleop37.5
End0.0
red by 14.4
2358
#20
23.70.4
23.322.8
Auto0.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Third
4096
#24
36.10.3
36.436.7
Auto0.2
Teleop35.9
End0.0
red by 16.8
2022
#28
19.30.4
19.719.3
Auto1.7
Teleop17.6
End0.0