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Red46
317712.9
306724.3
429610.6
Blue124
339020.7
245154.8
219441.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2612505010015020025046124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3067
#13
24.30.2
22.722.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.6
End0.0
blue by 30.5
54.80.5
54.354.8
Auto1.2
Teleop53.6
End0.0
Second
3177
#37
12.90.2
12.712.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 28.4
41.30.5
40.040.4
Auto0.2
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Third
4296
#45
10.60.2
7.47.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 10.1
3390
#15
20.70.6
20.120.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0