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Red14
173919.7
211511.3
424112.0
Blue72
306118.2
270917.6
203926.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436101001502001472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1739
#27
19.71.4
21.019.7
Auto0.2
Teleop19.5
End0.0
blue by 6.3
2039
#21
26.00.6
26.026.5
Auto0.1
Teleop25.9
End0.0
Second
4241
#50
12.01.4
13.312.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 6.2
3061
#19
18.20.6
17.618.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
2115
#46
11.31.8
13.111.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 6.2
2709
#31
17.60.6
17.017.6
Auto0.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0