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Red156
465550.9
369520.4
414367.6
Blue124
173628.2
1650.9
278110.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13768050100150200250156124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.61.3
62.764.0
Auto1.5
Teleop66.1
End0.0
red by 16.6
16
#8
50.92.1
47.950.1
Auto0.3
Teleop50.7
End0.0
Second
50.91.3
49.350.6
Auto0.1
Teleop50.8
End0.0
red by 22.7
1736
#35
28.22.1
25.227.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Third
3695
#33
20.41.5
18.920.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.7
End0.0
red by 9.7
2781
#30
10.82.6
8.210.8
Auto0.7
Teleop10.1
End0.0