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Red100
402837.3
204032.7
320124.3
Blue125
400934.3
352837.7
11133.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89100050150200250300350100125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#10
37.30.1
37.237.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop37.8
End0.0
blue by 0.4
37.70.4
36.536.9
Auto0.7
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Second
32.70.1
32.632.7
Auto2.1
Teleop30.6
End0.0
blue by 1.6
4009
#11
34.30.4
33.133.5
Auto0.8
Teleop33.5
End0.0
Third
3201
#19
24.30.1
24.224.3
Auto0.7
Teleop23.6
End0.0
blue by 9.4
111
#15
33.70.4
32.633.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop33.8
End0.0