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Red186
175653.9
248182.1
222023.6
Blue84
464634.3
409637.6
421316.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1617205010020025018684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.10.5
80.080.6
Auto10.9
Teleop71.2
End0.0
red by 44.5
37.60.1
37.637.5
Auto0.9
Teleop36.7
End0.0
Second
53.90.5
51.852.3
Auto3.0
Teleop50.8
End0.0
red by 19.6
4646
#14
34.30.1
34.334.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.3
End0.0
Third
2220
#21
23.60.5
21.522.1
Auto1.3
Teleop22.3
End0.0
red by 7.3
4213
#36
16.30.1
16.416.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0