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Quarterfinal pool 62015 Central Illinois Regional
Red99
245740.9
87646.6
350711.7
Blue106
464634.3
409637.6
421316.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions998005015020099106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#5
46.60.0
46.6→46.6
Auto0.1
Teleop46.5
End0.0
red by 9.0
4096
#8
37.60.3
36.8→37.2
Auto0.9
Teleop36.7
End0.0
Second
2457
#6
40.90.0
40.9→40.9
Auto0.2
Teleop40.7
End0.0
red by 6.7
4646
#14
34.30.3
33.5→33.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.3
End0.0
Third
3507
#39
11.70.0
11.7→11.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 4.6
4213
#36
16.30.3
15.6→15.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0