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Red188
175653.9
248182.1
222023.6
Blue125
414352.8
251255.7
421220.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15511650100200250188125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.10.6
80.681.1
Auto10.9
Teleop71.2
End0.0
red by 26.4
55.70.0
55.054.9
Auto14.5
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Second
53.90.6
52.352.9
Auto3.0
Teleop50.8
End0.0
red by 1.0
52.80.0
52.152.1
Auto1.6
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Third
2220
#21
23.60.6
22.122.6
Auto1.3
Teleop22.3
End0.0
red by 3.2
4212
#27
20.40.0
19.719.7
Auto2.4
Teleop18.0
End0.0