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Red74
173626.1
431410.3
409637.6
Blue76
352837.7
424116.8
202216.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46450204060801007476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.62.4
13.115.4
Auto0.9
Teleop36.7
End0.0
blue by 0.1
37.71.6
22.424.0
Auto0.7
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Second
1736
#16
26.12.4
21.824.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.3
End0.0
red by 9.3
4241
#37
16.82.3
10.012.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
4314
#31
10.32.4
11.013.3
Auto0.5
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 6.0
2022
#24
16.32.3
15.718.0
Auto0.7
Teleop15.6
End0.0