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Qual 102015 Central Illinois Regional
Red76
414352.8
544227.2
285611.4
Blue39
170115.6
204032.7
203923.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403902060807639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#3
52.83.0
19.7→22.7
Auto1.6
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 20.2
2040
#7
32.70.1
16.5→16.6
Auto2.1
Teleop30.6
End0.0
Second
5442
#13
27.23.0
11.6→14.7
Auto0.2
Teleop27.0
End0.0
red by 4.1
2039
#20
23.10.2
14.4→14.6
Auto0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
2856
#35
11.43.0
8.5→11.5
Auto0.1
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 4.2
1701
#32
15.60.1
11.9→12.0
Auto0.6
Teleop15.0
End0.0