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Red148
235820.9
173914.8
248182.1
Blue92
350711.7
245740.9
208131.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9256015020014892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.13.2
63.766.9
Auto10.9
Teleop71.2
End0.0
red by 41.2
40.91.6
30.732.3
Auto0.2
Teleop40.7
End0.0
Second
2358
#25
20.94.8
14.619.4
Auto0.4
Teleop20.6
End0.0
blue by 10.2
2081
#12
31.12.4
16.218.6
Auto0.3
Teleop30.8
End0.0
Third
1739
#26
14.84.8
11.516.4
Auto0.6
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 3.1
3507
#39
11.72.4
16.619.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.1
End0.0