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Red34
553719.5
11133.7
320124.3
Blue78
421316.3
87646.6
251255.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35900501001502003478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#15
33.70.9
23.923.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop33.8
End0.0
blue by 21.9
55.70.4
37.537.1
Auto14.5
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Second
3201
#19
24.30.9
12.711.8
Auto0.7
Teleop23.6
End0.0
blue by 22.3
876
#5
46.60.4
30.630.2
Auto0.1
Teleop46.5
End0.0
Third
5537
#29
19.50.9
7.97.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.7
End0.0
red by 3.1
4213
#36
16.30.4
16.716.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0