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Qual 192015 Central Illinois Regional
Red10
93819.2
431410.3
173914.8
Blue42
270416.6
208131.1
566518.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434310203040501042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
938
#30
19.21.7
14.9→13.2
Auto0.6
Teleop18.6
End0.0
blue by 11.9
2081
#12
31.10.2
18.6→18.4
Auto0.3
Teleop30.8
End0.0
Second
1739
#26
14.82.9
16.4→13.5
Auto0.6
Teleop14.2
End0.0
blue by 3.5
5665
#28
18.30.2
10.3→10.1
Auto0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Third
4314
#31
10.32.9
13.3→10.4
Auto0.5
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 6.4
2704
#34
16.60.2
15.3→15.2
Auto0.8
Teleop15.8
End0.0