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Red70
251255.7
203923.1
202216.3
Blue110
352837.7
245740.9
464634.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638605010015020070110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.70.4
37.137.5
Auto14.5
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 14.7
40.91.2
33.534.7
Auto0.2
Teleop40.7
End0.0
Second
2039
#20
23.10.6
14.615.2
Auto0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0
blue by 14.6
37.71.2
24.025.2
Auto0.7
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Third
2022
#24
16.30.6
17.217.8
Auto0.7
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 18.0
4646
#14
34.31.2
28.429.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.3
End0.0