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Red45
400934.3
170115.6
306716.9
Blue26
421316.3
553719.5
235820.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5841020801001201404526

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4009
#11
34.30.6
26.225.5
Auto0.8
Teleop33.5
End0.0
red by 13.3
2358
#25
20.91.6
20.919.3
Auto0.4
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Second
3067
#23
16.91.1
20.219.2
Auto0.2
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 2.6
5537
#29
19.51.6
9.07.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
1701
#32
15.60.6
11.310.7
Auto0.6
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 0.7
4213
#36
16.31.0
15.614.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0