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Red65
566518.3
251255.7
392828.7
Blue92
202216.3
402837.3
17125.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6736020801001201401606592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.71.2
36.337.5
Auto14.5
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 18.4
4028
#10
37.34.2
17.121.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop37.8
End0.0
Second
3928
#17
28.71.5
19.821.3
Auto1.1
Teleop27.6
End0.0
red by 2.9
171
#18
25.84.2
13.617.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop26.4
End0.0
Third
5665
#28
18.38.2
18.310.1
Auto0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
red by 2.0
2022
#24
16.34.2
11.515.7
Auto0.7
Teleop15.6
End0.0