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Red129
248182.1
400934.3
544227.2
Blue80
170115.6
245740.9
173914.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions973705015020012980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.12.3
61.463.7
Auto10.9
Teleop71.2
End0.0
red by 41.2
40.92.0
28.830.7
Auto0.2
Teleop40.7
End0.0
Second
4009
#11
34.32.5
21.724.2
Auto0.8
Teleop33.5
End0.0
red by 18.7
1701
#32
15.61.6
10.311.9
Auto0.6
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
5442
#13
27.231.0
42.611.6
Auto0.2
Teleop27.0
End0.0
red by 12.3
1739
#26
14.82.7
8.911.5
Auto0.6
Teleop14.2
End0.0