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Qual 342015 Central Illinois Regional
Red138
245740.9
306716.9
414352.8
Blue136
464634.3
173626.1
251255.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82940200300400500138136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#3
52.84.3
36.5→40.8
Auto1.6
Teleop51.2
End0.0
blue by 2.8
2512
#2
55.72.0
42.0→44.0
Auto14.5
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Second
2457
#6
40.92.6
34.1→36.6
Auto0.2
Teleop40.7
End0.0
red by 6.7
4646
#14
34.32.0
29.2→31.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.3
End0.0
Third
3067
#23
16.94.3
16.2→20.5
Auto0.2
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 9.3
1736
#16
26.13.4
24.2→27.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.3
End0.0